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Skirting the Nuclear Threshold: Conflict De-escalation and Strategic Stability in South Asia

March 31, 2022 April 1, 2022

The recent inadvertent firing of an Indian missile into Pakistani territory has renewed focus on analyzing conflicts that don’t cross the nuclear threshold. There is potential for controlling escalation in sub-conventional conflicts if effective channels are utilized. However, the incident highlights the poor state of bilateral mechanisms between India and Pakistan, which raises questions about strategic stability in South Asia. The CSDR policy roundtable will address these issues. • What is the impact of the missile misfire on recent Indo-Pak commitments? Can the 2005 Agreement be expanded to include cruise missiles? What are the obstacles to establishing nuclear risk reduction centres?

• What are the challenges to preventing escalation below the nuclear threshold? What does the development of improved delivery vehicles mean for strategic stability in South Asia?

• How does Chinese involvement in Pakistan’s military and political developments affect future Indo-Pak agreements?

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